Saturday, January 26, 2008

The Pigou Club on YouTube

This video was posted several months ago by Razela (i.r.l. Jamie Bernstein, but not apparently Leonard Bernstein's daughter of the same name) on YouTube, as a response to a video by Bill Richardson asking for ideas about energy.



She also has a blog with embedded videos, but I couldn't find this one on her blog.

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Friday, October 13, 2006

Join the Club

In reaction to this, I’m ready to join Greg Mankiw’s Pigou Club (people who support Pigovian taxes on carbon-based energy to deal with global warming – or other detrimental external effects of energy consumption – in an efficient way). There are a few reasons I might not be accepted, though:
  1. I’m not sure that anonymous bloggers are qualified for admission.

  2. I have to confess that my rationale is not 100% Pigovian. It seems clear to me that, even if Al Gore is only a little bit right about the causes and consequences of global warming, the optimal Pigovian tax is extremely high – much higher than what would be politically feasible (in the US) even in my wildest dreams. Energy demand is just not elastic enough, even in the long run, and the social costs of global warming are too high. So, for practical purposes, I see any increase in energy taxes more as a nondistortionary tax than as a Pigovian tax. There is a standard argument that taxes don’t do any harm if they don’t change behavior; in this case, changing behavior is gravy. (As for global warming, well, I’m just glad I’m going to die in another 40 years or so.)

  3. I’m not sure Greg Mankiw reads my blog regularly enough to catch this post.
The argument commonly advanced against Pigovian taxes is that we cannot measure the relevant quantities well enough to ascertain the optimal tax. For example, in the (Toronto) National Post article linked at the beginning of this post:
The problem with a Pigovian gasoline tax is that it means using the same tools that failed planners everywhere over the past century. None of this stuff is measurable. What is the planned reduction in gasoline consumption? And what's the price to be set at? How high will the tax have to go before it changes behaviour enough to reduce demand? Will the government just wing it and see what happens? Will the alternative behaviour be any better or create new externalities and unintended consequences? What does government do with the money collected -- except launch a program of subsidies and spending to run alternative economic initiatives?
Since I’m convinced that the optimal tax is much higher than what is politically feasible, the uncertainty about the exact number is not a problem for me: I just advocate the highest tax possible. More generally, though, one might always set some reasonable lower bound and argue that the tax should be at least that high. The Post’s argument, as I commented in Greg Mankiw’s blog post (linked at the top), is essentially saying that government is generally incompetent, so whenever there’s a problem that the private sector can’t fix, the only reasonable approach is to ignore the problem. And then I proceeded to apply the same logic elsewhere:
The problem with using government-supplied police officers to protect citizens from crime is that it means using the same tools that failed planners everywhere over the past century. None of this stuff is measurable. What is the planned reduction in crime? And what are the wages of police officers to be set at? How much of this so-called police protection will have to be supplied before crime is sufficiently reduced? Will the government just wing it and see what happens? Will the police forces be any better than criminals, or will they create new externalities and unintended consequences? Where will the government get the money to pay these police officers?
I realize that a few anarchists won’t regard this as a reductio ad absurdum, but I’m not an anarchist myself. The debate does continue, however, and you can read it in the subsequent comments to Greg Mankiw’s post.

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Friday, September 08, 2006

Income Distribution and Monopoly Rents

Maybe I am a lefty. In any case I find this discussion of income distribution (by Maynard of Creative Destruction) rather compelling:
I think one thing that's going on with the income distribution is this. With the development of communication and computer technology and the greater reach of large corporations in the last several decades, our productive technology is increasingly characterized by scale economies (I haven't read Rosen's Economics of Superstars, AER 1981, in awhile, but I think my argument is related to his). Two examples. Microsoft dominates the "market" for operating systems because of network effects: the more people who use Windows, the more valuable it becomes for the marginal user. Tom Hanks gets paid an outrageous amount of money because the distribution of his movies has become so sophisticated. It costs next to nothing at the margin to distribute one more copy of the same movie, so he is able by dint of a slight advantage in talent over a performer that no one has ever heard of to dominate the market. This means that there are huge monopoly rents that are up for grabs across huge swaths of the American economy. In the old days when the economy was insulated to some extent from the rest of the world and workers were represented by strong unions, you might have seen workers take a big chunk of these rents. But in the present environment, the rents go to those in the strongest bargaining position, namely the executives at large corporations and institutions and the performers who always have the recourse to walk away from the next film (or music, or sports) deal. So Brooks is right that our "meritocracy" is rewarding people based on individual talents, those who are organized, self-motivated, and socially adept. But the talent that is being rewarded is the talent to extract rents, not the talent to produce a higher quality product than the competition. Rewarding that particular talent produces no benefits for society; there is no economic argument to justify such a meritocracy, no economic basis for opposing, say, a steeply progressive tax system that would counteract some of the forces pushing us toward greater income inequality.
In fact, progressive taxation is more efficient. People in the bottom half of the income distribution aren’t getting much of the rents. They’re being paid roughly their marginal product, and taxes would distort their labor/leisure decision. People near the top of the distribution are the ones who have succeeded in capturing rents. They are being paid much more than their marginal product, and taxes actually correct a distortion in their labor/leisure decision.

Note, however, that these arguments don’t apply to capital taxation. (Maybe I’m not a lefty, after all.) If an individual has a lot of capital income, it is probably because that individual had a lot of capital to invest, not because she is capturing a disproportionate amount of rents in her capital income. So there is no efficiency justification for progressive taxes on capital income.

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Wednesday, September 06, 2006

Why Jane Galt is Still Wrong

I'm willing to bet a fairly hefty sum of money that almost none of the lefty bloggers who linked to it originally will link to my attempts to rectify their misunderstanding.
So writes Jane Galt. I don’t think I’m one of those she had in mind, since I didn’t deal directly with Ms. Galt’s arguments in my earlier posts (and I wouldn’t willingly accept the term “lefty,” though it’s possible that the shoe fits, or that it appears to fit). Nonetheless, I can’t resist the challenge.

Her words again:
…my metaphor was aimed at a specific kind of redistribution: that which is less interested in making the poor better off, than in making the rich worse off, so that they don't make the rest of us look bad. Or as Brad Delong said:
Surely public policy should weigh the spite-generated utility the rich gain from their conspicuous consumption as worth less than nothing?

And in that case, the wealth hierarchy is precisely equivalent to the beauty hierarchy, morally speaking: it is a zero sum game in which a lucky few feel better only when the others feel worse. So to my mind, anything that applies to the enjoyment of wealth by the lucky few applies equally well to the enjoyment of endowments like beauty, athleticism, and intelligence. I am unable to construct a moral argument for cutting down the tall poppies of the income distribution that doesn't apply equally well to conspicuous flaunting of one's pulchritude, physical prowess, or brains.

But how is it that she misses the critical point? To wit: the creation of conspicuous wealth, by its very nature, uses up resources that could be used for other purposes. Indeed, wealth might be defined as the ability to command resources, and therefore, the more resources that are used to produce conspicuous wealth, the more effective it is. By contrast, the process of flaunting one’s pulchritude, etc., while it may use up some resources, is not inherently resource-intensive. And certainly, such endowments, to the extent that they are truly endowments, don’t require resources to create.

The beauty hierarchy is, as Ms. Galt states, a zero-sum game (roughly), but – because of the resources used up – the wealth hierarchy could very well be a negative-sum game. Using up resources is fine as long as the full social benefit of the product exceeds the cost of the resources. But with conspicuous consumption that is not necessarily the case. Because there are negative externalities – namely the unhappiness (mistakenly labeled as envy) generated among inferiors – associated with that consumption, there is no mechanism to insure that the social benefit from the resources used is at least as great as the cost.

Of course there are counterarguments. For example, as Ms. Galt points out, there are also positive externalities associated with the pursuit of wealth. But those positive externalities have had their day in court. It is not at all fair to brush aside the negative externalities that may be associated with the pursuit of wealth (even if they are more difficult to measure).

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Tuesday, September 05, 2006

Enough with the Envy and Spite Rhetoric

(See my last post, and its many links, for background.)

The terms “envy” and “spite,” it now occurs to me, not only frame the debate in an unpleasant light: they are also fundamentally inaccurate characterizations of the issue involved. Envy and spite are emotions directed at people: “I am envious of Peter”; “I am spiteful toward Paul”. These emotions imply hostility, which in fact has nothing to do with the argument that people derive utility from relative wealth. Thus Tyler Cowen Alex Tabarrok can complain that he doesn’t like being envied, but here he is talking about the actual emotion of envy (with all the attendant hostility), not about the property of certain utility functions that has been labeled as “envy.”

To say that I get utility from my relative wealth is not to say that I have any particular feeling about those against whom I compare myself. The word “envy” (and similarly the word “spite”) exaggerates the degree of other-regard that is present. The “others” in this case are not concrete people about whom I have feelings, but abstract reference points against which I compare myself. It’s not that the poor are envious of the rich; it’s that the poor feel bad about themselves when they compare themselves to the rich (or more likely to a social average in which the rich are only one element). Similarly, it’s not that the rich are spiteful toward the poor, it’s that they feel good about themselves when they compare themselves to the poor (or to the social average).

I doubt that Tyler Cowen Alex Tabarrok really gets significant disutility from being part of such an abstract reference point, but if he does, he seriously needs to chill. And his comparison of envy to homophobia is also “fruit of the poison tree,” since it derives from the original misuse of the word “envy.” The hatred that homophobes feel toward homosexuals is entirely other-regarding. Very much in contrast to relative wealth feelings, it has nothing (except at a deep psychological level) to do with what the homophobe feels about himself. Homosexuals have a legitimate complaint about being the objects of actual hate, rather than imagined envy.

In fact, when Brad DeLong brought the word “spite” into this discussion, he was conceding a point that he never should have conceded. The phrase “politics of envy” is used, by those who oppose redistribution, to frame the debate in emotional terms. The phrase may perhaps be a reasonably accurate characterization of the politics. To get people excited about redistribution – to get them to vote on that basis – you may have to make them emotional, literally “envious.” Rational arguments about their underlying preferences probably won’t do the trick. But Greg Mankiw let the term “envy” slip from the political argument into the economic one, where it becomes quite misleading. That, in my opinion, was a mistake that needs to be corrected before the discussion can proceed.

UPDATE: Oops, I referenced the wrong Marginal Revolution blogger (for this post).

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Monday, September 04, 2006

Inequality, Spite, and the Game of Love

The debate du jour in the economic blogosphere seems to be about relative wealth – whether it affects welfare and whether public policy should take this possible effect into account. We have the usual dramatis personae, with Brad DeLong and Greg Mankiw in the leading roles, Jane Galt as the female lead, a cameo appearance by Chris Dillow, and Mark Thoma in the role of messenger (and let’s not forget Tyler Cowen…and now Gabriel Mihalache...and...and...and...never mind, I'm going to have to post this before I read every single blog). Most of the discussion concerns “envy” and “spite” – the supposed emotions of the poor and rich, respectively, which mediate the welfare effect of relative wealth.

I have a couple of points to bring up. First, from a utilitarian point of view, it doesn’t help Brad’s case that he points particularly to the spiteful rich rather than the envious poor. If the rich get pleasure from knowing they are better off than the poor, that, by itself, is a good reason to keep the income distribution unequal. Why not give the rich that extra pleasure of being relatively, rather than just absolutely, rich? The only utilitarian reason is that it (ostensibly) harms the poor, which is to say, in the terms of the discussion, that the poor are envious. Yes, I do understand that Brad is countering Greg’s comment about “making envy a basis for public policy,” but it seems to me that Greg's whole line of thought brings us into the realm of emotional, rather than rational, policy analysis. Greg casts redistribution in an unpleasant light by using the word “envy,” and instead of trying to cast it in a pleasanter light (“people like being equal”), Brad reflects back the bad light by using the word “spite.” In any case, it’s all mood music.

But I wonder why everyone (except Chris Dillow) thinks that the effect of relative wealth is merely subjective. As Chris points out, there are objective ways in which consumption by the rich may hurt the not-so-rich. I wonder why nobody has brought up what seems to me to be the obvious example: sexual competition. (For example, suppose you like tall redheads and you’re into spanking….OK, never mind.) I think particularly of competition among men, although arguments can also be made about competition among women. (My example also assumes, without loss of generality, that the men are heterosexual. And, oh, yes, back in the 80s I used to believe that stuff about men and women being roughly equal, so it didn’t matter who was chasing whom…but the 80s ended back in 1989, if I recall.)

In the area of beauty, evolution somehow seems to have failed the human male (well, most human males, anyhow: men are no plums, but they do contain the occasional Pitt). So men tend to compete for the attention of women not (like peacocks) on the basis of their natural endowment but on the basis of other things, which are often expensive. If I own a BMW and you buy a Jaguar, it hurts me objectively, because all the chicks that used to ride in my BMW will want to ride in your Jaguar instead. (In reality, it’s probably just as well that I drive a Saturn; my wife wouldn’t be too happy if I used the car to go cruising for chicks.) There’s no envy or spite involved here: just men who are competing rationally and women who like men with fancy cars. Although the competition has some benefit for the women involved, it’s easy to see that there’s also a deadweight loss. It’s a multi-player prisoner’s dilemma, and there is no mechanism to produce a cooperative solution.

UPDATE: Steve Waldman brings up another, much more important (but less sexy!) area in which objective competition causes relative wealth to have an impact: politics.

UPDATE2: I missed Alex Tabarrok’s important post, which might sort of provide a justification for Brad’s focus on spite. Also this other one by Gabriel Mihalache.

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Sunday, July 02, 2006

The Economics of Journalism of Economics

In a post that uncharacteristically portrays a (former) member of the Bush administration in a positive light, Brad DeLong continues his criticism of the mainstream media:

The world is a complex and intricate place. How is anyone to understand it--even a particular piece of it, for example the United States government in Washington DC and its economic policies? It is a big problem, for the standard sources that I was taught (perhaps wrongly) as a child to rely on--the Washington Post, the New York Times, Walter Cronkhite on the evening news--are breaking down.


I will suggest that he was in fact taught wrongly. But first I note that he later makes some important exceptions:

If you want to understand Washington DC, the American government, and American economic policy, then: trust the news pages of the Wall Street Journal, trust the Financial Times, trust the political and lobbying coverage of the National Journal. Trust Bloomberg and Knight-Ridder to try as best they can to get the story straight under immense time pressure.


I know very little about the National Journal, so I won’t comment on that, but the other four media outlets mentioned here have something obvious in common: they are all business and financial media. That orientation stands in contrast to those mentioned disparagingly in the earlier citation.

I am regular reader of the Wall Street Journal myself. (To be honest, I usually only make it through column 2 of the front page, and perhaps column 3, depending on how much fiber I ate the previous day.) The Journal’s coverage is far from perfect, but since it is the only paper that I read (even one column of) regularly, revealed preference would suggest that I tend to agree with Brad.

But even if I had never read the New York Times, it wouldn’t surprise me that the Journal has more reliable coverage. Business media are designed to provide news as useful information; general media are designed to provide news as a form of entertainment. Times readers want to find out what’s happening in the world because they enjoy finding out what’s happening in the world. In principle it doesn’t make much difference whether what they find out is what’s actually happening or some contrived alternate reality. In practice the distinction matters only to the extent that readers are likely to check the information against other sources.

Journal readers want to find out what’s happening in the world because they are going to make practical decisions based on that information – not just ineffectual decisions (from the individual perspective) like who to vote for, but decisions – like what investments to choose, how many widgets to produce, or whether to accept a merger offer – that will have noticeable effects on their lives. If the Journal gets a story wrong, it makes a practical difference to readers. Unlike the case of the Times, whether a story is substantively accurate makes more difference than whether the story is enjoyable to read. Naturally it is in the Journal’s interest to allocate more of its resources toward getting the stories right.

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Thursday, June 22, 2006

Stumbling on Chocolate: Of TV and Tofu

If economists and psychologists are going to collaborate, they really ought to learn more about each other’s discipline. I have in mind the field of happiness research, and my case in point is a statement by psychologist Daniel Gilbert, author of the rapidly climbing bestseller Stumbling on Happiness. I am perhaps a bit unfair, taking an incidental statement out of context, but the topic is interesting in its own right, and this provides a useful point of departure:

…when something makes us happy we are willing to pay a lot for it, which is why the worst Belgian chocolate is more expensive than the best Belgian tofu.


The first part of that statement can hardly be denied (at least by an economist), but the second part I would question. If chocolate and tofu were both produced by monopolists, the chocolate monopolists would indeed be able to charge more than the tofu monopolists, just because people like chocolate better. But I have a hard time believing that “the worst” Belgian chocolate is monopolistically supplied. Surely there must be plenty of very close substitutes, both from other Belgian chocolatiers who make slightly better chocolate and from foreign chocolatiers who make chocolate that is at least almost as good. No matter how much people like chocolate, these competitors would have incentives to keep undercutting one another’s prices until the price came down to the cost of production. And if chocolate cost less to produce than tofu does, then, no matter how much people prefer chocolate, it would cost less than tofu. The reason chocolate is actually more expensive is that it costs more to produce.

This analysis raises the broader question of why good things generally seem to cost more than not-so-good things. I have several answers. First, to a large extent, the premise isn’t even true. Most people, most of the time, would rather watch TV than eat tofu, and yet broadcast TV is essentially free (except for the amortized cost of the TV set) whereas tofu has a nontrivial cost. Second, many good things – for example, the best Belgian chocolate – are in fact supplied monopolistically.

But the main reason, I think, is this: it’s not so much that good things are expensive as that expensive things are good. Gilbert in fact makes this point in his next sentence, but my reasoning is different than his. A basic premise of economics is the idea of diminishing marginal utility: the more you already have of something, the less additional happiness you get from an incremental amount. Things that don’t cost much, we already have plenty of, so an additional unit is not that good. Things that cost a lot, we don’t have much of, so an additional unit is very good. So, for example, why is going to a professional theatrical production better than going to a movie? Of course there are many who will say that the theatre is an inherently better art form, but for most people, I think, the answer is this: going to a play is better because we don’t get to do it as often. In other words, theatre is better than cinema specifically because theatre is more expensive.

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Tuesday, June 13, 2006

Buddhism and Economics

…or perhaps I won’t be too busy to post. We can relax the assumption that I would spend some time sleeping this week…


Apropos of my mention of Buddhism in an earlier post, battlepanda asserts:

Instead of focusing on love and hate, for one's friends and enemies respectively, Buddhism focuses on suffering and mercy, which is the alleviation of suffering. It is the only religion I know of that aligns with utilitarian elements

In the light of this, it occurs to me that Buddhism is related to economics. A rational Buddhist is like the hypothetical social planner that economists use to generate social optima in welfare models, because maximizing social welfare is equivalent to maximizing good karma. (That is, the social planner is maximizing his or her own good karma by acting to maximize social welfare. There might be a problem, though, because some interpretations of Buddhism argue that, while good karma is better than bad karma, it’s even better to have no karma at all.)

OK, maybe that’s just an excuse to write about Buddhism in a blog that’s focused on economics. I don’t really need an excuse, but I will be posting about Buddhism occasionally.

Interestingly, the phrase “Buddhism and economics” (in quotation marks) gets 102 results in Google, with apparently only a little bit of redundancy. I haven’t looked at any of them yet.

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